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BRAZILIAN PUBLIC OPINION REJECTS BAD FOREST CODE CHANGES

At last, there is good news to report in the effort to save the Amazon forest from the inexorable march of chainsaws, cattle and ruthless agricultural expansion. Compared to recent disheartening reports of murders of activists, passage of a terrible Forest Code by Brazil's House of Deputies, and the "go-ahead" given to the Belo Monte monster dam, the past few days have brought forth news that seems almost heavenly.




[UPDATE: WWF Brazil reports that President Dilma says,"No amnesty on illegal Amazon deforestation."]

The most promising news is that Brazilian public opinion has swung against the proposed Forest Code which would seriously reduce regulations against new deforestation and offer amnesty to past offenders. According to Mongabay:

The national poll asked 1286 Brazilians across a wide range of socioeconomic classes about their opinions on a Forest Code reform bill that passed Brazil's lower house [last] month. The bill next heads to the Senate. If it passes, it would then most on to President Dilma Rousseff for final approval.


The survey found 79 percent in favor an eventual veto from Rousseff should the current bill pass the Senate. 84 percent agreed they would not vote for representatives or senators who had voted in favor of "pardoning illegal deforestation". (read full report below)

This comes on the heels of the release of the Brazilian government's Institute of Applied Economic Research (IPEA) analysis of the bill that had been sponsored by Communist Party leader Aldo Rebelo and passed overwhelmingly in the House of Deputies. The IPEA concluded, contrary to the claims of Rebelo and the ruralistas. that proposed changes would NOT help the small farmer, that it would encourage more inefficient cattle production and deforestation rather than investment in improved methods, and that it would seriously undercut the ability of Brazil to meet the emissions-reductions targets of its own national climate policy. Basically, it concluded that the "we are helping the small farmer" claims of Rebelo and the ruralistas were incorrect and contrary to Brazilian national goals.

Here is the full public opinion report from Mongabay:

Majority of Brazilians reject changes in Amazon Forest Code
Rhett Butler, mongabay.com
June 11, 2011



Poll takes temperature on Brazilian's support for a bill that environmentalists say would weaken the Forest Code, which stipulates protection for forest areas on private lands in the Amazon. It finds 79% of Brazilian support presidential veto of Amazon Forest Code revision and raises questions on public support for politicians who support the proposed revision.


The vast majority of Brazilians reject a bill that would weaken Brazil's Forest Code, according to a new poll commissioned by green groups.


The national poll asked 1286 Brazilians across a wide range of socioeconomic classes about their opinions on a Forest Code reform bill that passed Brazil's lower house month. Environmentalists say the bill—in its present form—would grant amnesty to those who illegally cleared rainforest and would absolve them from taking reforesting lands as required under current Brazilian law. It would also reduce requirements for protecting forest on hillsides, along waterways, and on hilltops. The bill next heads to the Senate. If it passes, it would then most on to President Dilma Rousseff for final approval.


The survey found 79 percent in favor an eventual veto from Rousseff should the current bill pass the Senate. 84 percent agreed they would not vote for representatives or senators who had voted in favor of "pardoning illegal deforestation".


"The survey shows how differences between rural and urban area, or between regions and social groups, are insignificant: there is just one trend across the country," Roberto Smeraldi, director, Amigos da Terra - Amazônia Brasileira. "Possibly, the radical stand by rural leaders, who spent months alleging that all farmers would be illegal, so as to justify a law to forgive them, ended up backfiring, making public opinion to reject this idea."


The telephone survey was conducted by Datafolha at the request of Brazilian environmental groups Amigos da Terra - Amazônia Brasileira (Friends of the Earth - Brazilian Amazon), IMAFLORA, IMAZON, Instituto Socioambiental (the Socio-environmental Institute), SOS Atlantic Forest and WWF-Brazil. The poll had a margin of error of 3 percent.


79 percent of those polled said they generally opposed pardoning farmers and ranchers who have cleared forest beyond that allowed by law. 45 percent of respondents supported amnesty only for those who agree to restore deforested areas up to the legal requirement, while 48 percent rejected amnesty in any form, arguing that transgressors need to be punished "to set an example for future generations." Only 5 percent believe that deforesters should be forgiven without the need to reforest.


The questionnaire found wide support (77 percent) for further scientific assessment of the potential environmental impact of the Forest Code revision.


Surprisingly most Brazilians indicated a preference for forest conservation over commodity production. Given a choice between giving priority to forest protection that may eventually limit agricultural and livestock production or giving priority to production at the expense of some forest protection, 85 percent of respondents chose protection.


The findings are in sharp contrast to the broad support for the bill in Brazil's lower house of Congress, where it passed easily. The bill has been championed by Aldo Rebelo, the head of Brazil’s Communist Party, with support from industrial agribusiness interests, including the National Agriculture Confederation and companies like Bunge, a U.S.-based commodities giant. But the bill has generally been opposed by small farmer groups and the rural poor.


Speculation over passage of the bill — and potential amnesty for deforestation beyond what is allowed under the current Forest Code — is thought to be a contributing factor to the surge in deforestation this year. Data release last month by Brazil's National Space Research Agency (INPE) revealed that 593 square kilometers of forest was cleared between March and April 2011, an area of rainforest 10 times the size of Manhattan and a 473 percent increase over the 103.5 square kilometers chopped down from March-April 2010. The increase reversed the downward trend in deforestation since 2004.